Smarter Player Prop
Research

Per-stat projections for NFL, NBA, and MLB, powered by matchup analysis and backtested against real sportsbook lines.

Validated on 20,000+ historical prop bets across a full NBA season.

Jump to Value Finder: NBA NFL MLB
20,000+
Bets Backtested
+21.5%
NBA Backtest ROI
3
Sports Covered
10
Stat Categories

Trending Players

Most researched on IronEdge over the past week.

NBA — Today's Top Picks

Our highest-confidence plays for today, based on projection edge and AI model

Odds updated 40 minutes ago

G-F · DET vs none
PTS UNDER 9.5
Proj 6.7 29.7% edge
DraftKings (-103)
F · BOS vs none
REB OVER 3.5
Proj 5.8 65.4% edge
BetRivers (-152)
G · PHI vs none
PTS UNDER 21.5
Proj 18.5 11.7% edge
DraftKings (-115)

See all value plays →

NFL — Today's Top Picks

Our highest-confidence plays for today, based on projection edge and AI model

Odds updated 18 minutes ago

TE · NYG vs NO
Rec Yds OVER 7.5
Proj 31.0 312.8% edge
Draftkings (-113)
WR · TEN vs IND
Rec Yds OVER 12.5
Proj 39.3 208.0% edge
Fanduel (-114)
WR · DAL vs GB
Rec Yds OVER 5.5
Proj 15.8 170.0% edge
Fanduel (-114)

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What You Get

Every tool is designed to help you make sharper prop decisions.

Player Projections

Per-stat projections tuned with weighted rolling averages, opponent difficulty, and home/away splits.

Matchup Analysis

Defense rankings for every stat and team. See which matchups boost or suppress player production.

Value Finder

Compare projections against live lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Spot the biggest edges.

Fantasy Rankings NFL

Weekly and rest-of-season fantasy rankings with matchup grades and custom scoring.

How It Works

1

We project

Our model generates per-stat projections using historical performance, matchup data, and usage trends.

2

We compare

Projections are compared against live prop lines from major sportsbooks to find disagreements.

3

You decide

Each play gets a value rating based on matchup quality — the strongest predictor we've found.