Smarter Player Prop
Research

Per-stat projections for NFL, NBA, and MLB, powered by matchup analysis and backtested against real sportsbook lines.

Validated on 20,000+ historical prop bets across a full NBA season.

Jump to Value Finder: NBA NFL MLB
20,000+
Bets Backtested
+21.5%
NBA Backtest ROI
3
Sports Covered
10
Stat Categories

MLB — Today's Top Picks

Our highest-confidence plays for today, based on projection edge and AI model

Odds updated 11 minutes ago

2B · CWS vs CHC · Aug 17
TB OVER 1.5
Proj 3.2 116.7% edge
DraftKings (+151)
3B · CHC vs CWS · Aug 17
TB OVER 1.5
Proj 3.2 110.7% edge
DraftKings (+145)
RF · KC vs ATH · Aug 17
TB OVER 1.5
Proj 3.0 96.7% edge
Caesars (-115)

See all value plays →

What You Get

Every tool is designed to help you make sharper prop decisions.

Player Projections

Per-stat projections tuned with weighted rolling averages, opponent difficulty, and home/away splits.

Matchup Analysis

Defense rankings for every stat and team. See which matchups boost or suppress player production.

Value Finder

Compare projections against live lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Spot the biggest edges.

Fantasy Rankings NFL

Weekly and rest-of-season fantasy rankings with matchup grades and custom scoring.

How It Works

1

We project

Our model generates per-stat projections using historical performance, matchup data, and usage trends.

2

We compare

Projections are compared against live prop lines from major sportsbooks to find disagreements.

3

You decide

Each play gets a value rating based on matchup quality — the strongest predictor we've found.